Hidden Patterns in Plain Sight
Zoltar's Sign-Invariant Cascading Threshold Classifier conditions on 27 distinct market regimes across 150+ years of data — surfacing interpretable monthly directional predictions with Bayesian confidence scores.
A true mathematical innovation at the core. One unified monthly report spanning equities, sectors, commodities, currencies, and international markets.
A True Mathematical Innovation
Zoltar owns its intellectual property — a novel regression at the core, paired with a sign-invariant cascade for fusing disparate signals. Structured, data-efficient, and transparent by design.
Sign-Invariant Prediction
A predictor that is reliably wrong carries the same information as one that is reliably right. Zoltar detects contrarian signals and inverts them automatically — no manual intervention.
27-Regime Conditioning
A ternary moderator partition decomposes every month by valuation, price, and earnings change into 27 disjoint regimes — so each signal is judged only where it actually applies.
Youden-J Thresholds
Each cascade gate is set to the threshold that maximizes sensitivity plus specificity — balancing false positives and false negatives, where both carry economic cost.
Bayesian O-Value
A profit-weighted, Laplace-smoothed quality score ranks each model — super-linearly penalizing marginal accuracy so capital concentrates on the highest-conviction signals.
Walk-Forward Valid
Z-scores, thresholds, and flip decisions use only trailing data. Nothing peeks at the future — the backtest is the strategy, evaluated honestly out-of-sample.
Fully Interpretable
Every component is inspectable: regime assignment, variable selection, threshold direction, and flip status. Data-efficient and transparent where deep nets are opaque.
How Zoltar Works
The SICTC engine — regime-conditional, sign-invariant, and fully interpretable. Every step is inspectable, by design.
Walk-Forward Data
NO LOOKAHEAD
We ingest 150+ years of valuation data and live macroeconomic indicators, then z-score every feature on trailing windows only. No future data ever enters the model — every prediction is walk-forward valid.
Ternary Regime Partition
27 MARKET REGIMES
A ternary moderator partition classifies each month by CAPE valuation, price, and earnings change into one of 27 distinct regimes — because a signal that works in an expansion can mislead in a contraction.
Sign-Invariant Cascade
YOUDEN-J + FLIP
Within each regime, a four-model cascade sets optimal Youden's J thresholds and auto-detects contrarian predictors — flipping reliably-wrong signals into reliably-right ones. A Bayesian O-value scores each model's profit-weighted quality.
Monthly Delivery
YOUR REPORT
Convergence across modules identifies the highest-conviction calls. Receive a monthly report with directional predictions, confidence scores, sector rotation, risk assessment, and backtested performance.
Read the full methodology — proofs, the O-value derivation, and walk-forward validation.
Download the WhitepaperWhat You Receive
Every month, our pipeline processes the latest data and delivers a comprehensive report covering equities, sectors, commodities, currencies, and international markets. Every signal is transparent — you see the confidence, the historical basis, and the statistical rigor behind it.
Our strength lies in convergence: when CAPE valuation, macro momentum, technical patterns, liquidity regime, and international signals all agree, conviction is highest.
How We Compare
Zoltar Predicts delivers what no single alternative can: quantitative rigor, historical depth, and multi-model convergence — all in one monthly report.
| Feature | Zoltar |
|---|---|
| 150+ Years Historical Data | |
| Bayesian Confidence Scores | |
| Regime-Conditional Models | |
| Interpretable Methodology | |
| Multi-Asset Coverage | |
| Walk-Forward Backtests | |
| Monthly Structured Reports | |
| No Conflicts of Interest |
Ready to See the Signals?
Start with Macro Monthly — your first three months are free. Directional predictions, confidence scores, and the full report, every month. Financial markets are just the beginning.
$50 for a 30-minute consultation. No obligation.
Investment Risk Disclosure
Zoltar Predicts is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial planner. All content, analysis, predictions, and reports provided through this platform are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities.
Past performance of our models does not guarantee future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. You should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. By using our services, you acknowledge and accept these risks.